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When Vladimir Putin’s term is over which Russian politician is most likely to take over as president of Russia?

As the end of Vladimir Putin’s presidency looms on the horizon, speculation intensifies regarding who might step into the formidable role of leading Russia. The question of Putin’s successor is of global significance, as it holds implications for the country’s domestic policies, international relations, and the overall trajectory of Russian governance.

Several prominent figures have emerged as potential candidates, each bringing their own strengths, political histories, and potential challenges to the table.

One figure frequently mentioned in discussions about Putin’s successor is Dmitry Medvedev. Having previously served as Russia’s president from 2008 to 2012, Medvedev has a long history of collaboration with Putin, who served as prime minister during Medvedev’s presidency.

This dynamic partnership, often referred to as a “tandem,” showcased a coordinated approach to governance, with Putin wielding significant influence even while not holding the presidential title. Medvedev’s return to the presidency would likely signal a continuation of this collaborative model.

However, questions arise about Medvedev’s ability to assert an independent agenda and steer Russia in a new direction. During his presidency, there were instances of policy differences between Medvedev and Putin, but Putin’s overarching influence was unmistakable. Whether Medvedev can emerge from Putin’s shadow and shape his own vision for Russia remains a topic of debate.

Vladimir Putin
Vladimir Putin © Getty images

Another potential contender is Sergey Lavrov, Russia’s longtime Minister of Foreign Affairs. Lavrov has been a stalwart figure in Russian diplomacy, representing the country on the global stage for over a decade.

His extensive experience in international relations and his role in shaping Russia’s foreign policy make him a formidable candidate. However, Lavrov’s lack of experience in domestic governance could be a potential stumbling block, as the challenges of leading a country extend beyond the realm of foreign affairs.

Nikolai Patrushev, the Secretary of the Security Council of Russia, is another figure often cited in discussions about Putin’s succession. As a former head of the Federal Security Service (FSB), Patrushev brings a background in security and intelligence to the table.

This could be particularly appealing to a Russia facing various geopolitical challenges and internal security concerns. However, his association with security agencies may raise questions about civil liberties and human rights.

In recent years, a younger generation of politicians has been gaining prominence within Russian politics. Among them, Alexei Navalny, though a vocal critic of the current regime and a figurehead of the opposition, has garnered significant attention.

Navalny’s anti-corruption platform and his ability to mobilize support among younger Russians have made him a notable force in Russian politics. However, his confrontational approach towards the Kremlin and his imprisonment raise doubts about the likelihood of him ascending to the presidency through conventional means.

The potential for a surprise candidate also looms large. Russian politics, known for its unpredictability, could see the emergence of a figure not currently in the spotlight. The dynamics of succession within the ruling United Russia party or a shift in public sentiment could bring forth a candidate with fresh perspectives and approaches.

The succession question becomes even more complex when considering the role of institutions like the State Duma and the United Russia party. The alignment of these influential bodies behind a particular candidate will significantly shape the political landscape.

The interplay between these institutions, Putin’s personal endorsement, and public opinion will determine the legitimacy and strength of the next Russian leader.

It is crucial to acknowledge the influence of Putin’s legacy on the selection of his successor. The next president will inherit the challenges and opportunities shaped by Putin’s extensive tenure. Whether the new leader seeks to build upon Putin’s policies, introduce significant reforms, or pursue an entirely different course will be a defining factor in shaping Russia’s future.

In conclusion, the question of who will succeed Vladimir Putin as the next president of Russia is a complex and highly debated topic. Dmitry Medvedev, Sergey Lavrov, Nikolai Patrushev, and even figures like Alexei Navalny represent diverse possibilities, each with its own set of implications for Russia’s domestic and international trajectory.

As the country approaches this pivotal moment in its political landscape, the decisions made in the post-Putin era will undoubtedly shape the course of Russian governance for years to come.

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